TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 9s ago

Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien

Tennis · May 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Cristian Garin

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.60	38.5%	$0.39	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.53	39.5%	$0.40	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.39

Odds

2.60

Implied

38.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.40

Odds

2.53

Implied

39.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Cristian Garin

Best: 39.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

39.5%

38.5%

Learner Tien

Best: 63.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

60.5%

63.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Cristian Garin

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.385

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.508 avg

+15.58% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.439

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.576

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.610 avg

+5.35% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.579

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Cristian Garin (kalshi, $389) — slippage 8.2% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Cristian Garinthin	kalshi	2.60	$389	$1010
Learner Tien	polymarket	1.65	$611	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Cristian Garin

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 39.5% vs kalshi at 38.5%

Expected Value

+2.60%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.60) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $8.8K
24h Volume: $8.8K
Liquidity: $65.4K
Open Interest: $8.7K

Resolves: in 8d 15h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.6K
24h Volume: $1.6K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.4K

Resolves: in 16d 15h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 15h · May 31, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 16d 15h · Jun 8, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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