TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi

Other · May 6, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Andrea Pellegrino

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.82	55.0%	$0.55	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.77	56.5%	$0.56	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.55

Odds

1.82

Implied

55.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.56

Odds

1.77

Implied

56.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Andrea Pellegrino

Best: 56.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.0%

56.5%

Luca Nardi

Best: 44.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

44.0%

43.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Andrea Pellegrino

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.550

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.687 avg

+11.72% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.615

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.759

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.742 avg

+2.26% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.726

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Andrea Pellegrino (kalshi, $558) — slippage 2.7% — eats into edge

Luca Nardi (polymarket, $442) — slippage 34.2% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Andrea Pellegrinothin	kalshi	1.82	$558	$1015
Luca Nardithin	polymarket	2.30	$442	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Andrea Pellegrino

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 56.5% vs kalshi at 55.0%

Expected Value

+2.73%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.82) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2
24h Volume: $2
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $88
24h Volume: $88
Liquidity: $2.7K
Open Interest: $88

Resolves: in 8d 8h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 8h · May 14, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · May 20, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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