TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic

Other · May 6, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Noemi Basiletti

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.35	23.0%	$0.23	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	4.08	24.5%	$0.25	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.23

Odds

4.35

Implied

23.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.25

Odds

4.08

Implied

24.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Noemi Basiletti

Best: 24.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

24.5%

23.0%

Ajla Tomljanovic

Best: 75.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

75.5%

74.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Noemi Basiletti

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.230

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.611 avg

+119.03% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.279

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.944

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.782 avg

+34.03% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.583

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.09%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Noemi Basiletti (kalshi, $237) — slippage 15.1% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Noemi Basilettithin	kalshi	4.35	$237	$1031
Ajla Tomljanovicthin	kalshi	1.35	$763	$1031

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Noemi Basiletti

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 24.5% vs kalshi at 23.0%

Expected Value

+6.52%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.35) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $81
24h Volume: $81
Liquidity: $3.0K
Open Interest: $81

Resolves: in 7d 14h

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $122
24h Volume: $116
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $122

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 14h · May 13, 2026, 3:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 7h · May 20, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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