TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 14s ago

ITF Casablanca: Warda Ait El Bachir vs Marta Soriano Santiago

Other · June 3, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Warda Ait El Bachir

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.35	23.0%	$0.23	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	4.08	24.5%	$0.25	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.23

Odds

4.35

Implied

23.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.25

Odds

4.08

Implied

24.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Warda Ait El Bachir

Best: 24.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

24.5%

23.0%

Marta Soriano Santiago

Best: 77.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

75.5%

77.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Warda Ait El Bachir

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.230

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.467 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.467

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.771 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.771

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Warda Ait El Bachir (kalshi, $234) — slippage 25.0% > 10% cap

Marta Soriano Santiago (polymarket, $767) — slippage 2.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Warda Ait El Bachirthin	kalshi	4.35	$234	$1015
Marta Soriano Santiagothin	polymarket	1.32	$767	$1016

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Warda Ait El Bachir

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 24.5% vs kalshi at 23.0%

Expected Value

+6.52%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.35) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.6K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · Jun 10, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jun 17, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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