TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Kayseri: Thomas Nicholas Gadecki vs Maxwell Mckennon

Other · June 4, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Thomas Nicholas Gadecki

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.55	22.0%	$0.22	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.00	50.0%	$0.50	+28.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.22

Odds

4.55

Implied

22.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.50

Odds

2.00

Implied

50.0%

Edge

+28.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Thomas Nicholas Gadecki

Best: 50.0% on polymarket

▲+28.0%

Prediction market is 28.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.0%

22.0%

Maxwell Mckennon

Best: 78.0% on kalshi

▲+28.0%

Prediction market is 28.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.0%

78.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Thomas Nicholas Gadecki

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.220

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.639 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.639

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.854 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.854

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+38.89%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Thomas Nicholas Gadecki (kalshi, $306) — slippage 133.3% > 10% cap

Maxwell Mckennon (polymarket, $694) — not enough depth at $694

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Thomas Nicholas Gadeckithin	kalshi	4.54	$306	$1389
Maxwell Mckennonthin	polymarket	2.00	$694	$1389

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Thomas Nicholas Gadecki

Spread

28.0pp

polymarket at 50.0% vs kalshi at 22.0%

Expected Value

+127.27%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.55) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $11
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $15
24h Volume: $15
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $15

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Jun 11, 2026, 7:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jun 18, 2026, 7:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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