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ITF Lakewood: Oliver Bonding vs Marko Mesarovic

Other · June 5, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0000000000000

Platform Prices — Oliver Bonding

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.61	62.0%	$0.62	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.60	62.5%	$0.63	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.62

Odds

1.61

Implied

62.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.63

Odds

1.60

Implied

62.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Oliver Bonding

Best: 62.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

62.5%

62.0%

Marko Mesarovic

Best: 40.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

37.5%

40.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Oliver Bonding

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.620

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.739 avg

+14.75% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.644

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.758

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.781 avg

+21.17% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.644

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Oliver Bonding (kalshi, $623) — slippage 12.0% > 10% cap

Marko Mesarovic (polymarket, $377) — not enough depth at $377

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Oliver Bondingthin	kalshi	1.61	$623	$1005
Marko Mesarovicthin	polymarket	2.67	$377	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Oliver Bonding

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 62.5% vs kalshi at 62.0%

Expected Value

+0.81%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.61) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $8
24h Volume: $8
Liquidity: $866
Open Interest: $8

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $582
24h Volume: $578
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $568

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · Jun 12, 2026, 5:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jun 19, 2026, 5:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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