TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 23s ago

ITF Monastir: Lourdes Ayala vs Aurora Urso

Other · June 3, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Lourdes Ayala

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.69	59.0%	$0.59	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.67	60.0%	$0.60	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.59

Odds

1.69

Implied

59.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.60

Odds

1.67

Implied

60.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lourdes Ayala

Best: 60.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

60.0%

59.0%

Aurora Urso

Best: 40.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

40.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lourdes Ayala

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.590

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.650 avg

+2.73% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.633

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.653

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.801 avg

+26.68% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.633

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Aurora Urso (polymarket, $404) — not enough depth at $404

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lourdes Ayalathin	kalshi	1.70	$596	$1010
Aurora Ursothin	polymarket	2.50	$404	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lourdes Ayala

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 60.0% vs kalshi at 59.0%

Expected Value

+1.69%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.69) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.0K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Jun 10, 2026, 2:45 PM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jun 17, 2026, 11:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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