TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Rosbach: Julien Penzlin vs Imanol Lopez Morillo

Other · June 3, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Julien Penzlin

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	6.25	16.0%	$0.16	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	5.88	17.0%	$0.17	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.16

Odds

6.25

Implied

16.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.17

Odds

5.88

Implied

17.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Julien Penzlin

Best: 17.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

17.0%

16.0%

Imanol Lopez Morillo

Best: 83.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

83.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Julien Penzlin

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.160

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.552 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.552

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.807 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.807

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Julien Penzlin (kalshi, $162) — slippage 135.5% > 10% cap

Imanol Lopez Morillo (polymarket, $838) — slippage 2.6% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Julien Penzlinthin	kalshi	6.25	$162	$1010
Imanol Lopez Morillothin	polymarket	1.21	$838	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Julien Penzlin

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 17.0% vs kalshi at 16.0%

Expected Value

+6.25%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (6.25) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $184
24h Volume: $184
Liquidity: $1.0K
Open Interest: $161

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1
24h Volume: $1
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · Jun 10, 2026, 11:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jun 17, 2026, 11:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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