TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 54s ago

ITF Rosbach: Markus Malaszszak vs Fons Van Sambeek

Other · June 3, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Markus Malaszszak

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.70	37.0%	$0.37	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.63	38.0%	$0.38	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.37

Odds

2.70

Implied

37.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.38

Odds

2.63

Implied

38.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Markus Malaszszak

Best: 38.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

38.0%

37.0%

Fons Van Sambeek

Best: 63.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

62.0%

63.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Markus Malaszszak

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.370

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.582 avg

+5.26% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.553

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.728

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.800 avg

+9.92% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.728

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Markus Malaszszak (kalshi, $374) — slippage 16.1% > 10% cap

Fons Van Sambeek (polymarket, $626) — slippage 3.5% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Markus Malaszszakthin	kalshi	2.70	$374	$1010
Fons Van Sambeekthin	polymarket	1.61	$626	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Markus Malaszszak

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 38.0% vs kalshi at 37.0%

Expected Value

+2.70%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.70) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.8K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · Jun 10, 2026, 11:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jun 17, 2026, 11:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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