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Climate and Weather · May 3, 2026
Best Price
Worst Price
Max Gap
Total Volume
Best: 3.0% on kalshi
Best: 18.5% on kalshi
Best: 7.5% on kalshi
Best: 18.5% on kalshi
For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
| Outcome | Platform | Odds | Stake | To win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41° or belowthin | kalshi | 33.33 | $63 | $2107 |
| 42° to 43°thin | kalshi | 5.41 | $390 | $2105 |
| 44° to 45°thin |
Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?
Vol: $1.6M
T20 Series Malaysia vs Indonesia: Malaysia vs Indonesia
Vol: $66
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants
Vol: $21K
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings
Vol: $7K
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Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
| kalshi |
| 13.33 |
| $158 |
| $2105 |
| 50° or abovethin | kalshi | 5.41 | $390 | $2105 |
Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.