SoccerUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Aarhus vs Lech Poznan: Regulation Time Moneyline

Champions League · July 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Reg Time: Lech Poznan

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.33	43.0%	$0.43	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	+2.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.43

Odds

2.33

Implied

43.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Reg Time: Lech Poznan

Best: 45.0% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

45.0%

43.0%

Draw

Best: 29.0% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

29.0%

KKS Lech Poznań

Best: 24.5% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

24.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Reg Time: Lech Poznan

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.430

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.541 avg

+7.22% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.505

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.578

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.556 avg

+0.79% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.552

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.63%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Reg Time: Lech Poznan (kalshi, $446) — slippage 3.1% — eats into edge

Draw (polymarket, $301) — slippage 14.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $30

KKS Lech Poznań (polymarket, $254) — slippage 15.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $1

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Reg Time: Lech Poznanthin	kalshi	2.33	$446	$1036
Draw	polymarket	3.45	$301	$1036
KKS Lech Poznań	polymarket	4.08	$254	$1036

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Reg Time: Lech Poznan

Spread

2.0pp

polymarket at 45.0% vs kalshi at 43.0%

Expected Value

+4.65%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.33) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $1.1K
24h Volume: $1.1K
Liquidity: $39.1K
Open Interest: $1.1K

Resolves: in 3d 10h

Source: https://www.uefa.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $763
24h Volume: $763
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $763

Resolves: in 17d 10h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 3d 10h · Jul 21, 2026, 5:00 PM
kalshiin 17d 10h · Aug 4, 2026, 5:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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