Picks priced above the no-vig fair median of every other platform on the same outcome. Low-liquidity legs already excluded. Take it, settle it, see your ROI.
For each outcome, we compare platform A's odds with the no-vig fair-probability median of every other platform pricing the same outcome. If A offers a payout above the peer-set fair value → +EV. Low-liquidity legs are excluded and a minimum of 2 independent peers is required to validate the signal. Capped at +30% to filter out data corruption.
No +EV pick ≥ 2% right now. The market is efficient — check back in a few minutes.
Picks are estimates based on peer-set consensus. If you have a reason to think the fair probability is higher (proprietary info, deeper analysis), take it. Otherwise treat the EV ≥ 2% floor as a minimum buffer for estimation noise.