TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 39s ago

Asuncion 2: Santiago De La Fuente vs Matias Soto

Other · June 17, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Santiago De La Fuente

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.88	20.5%	$0.21	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	4.55	22.0%	$0.22	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.21

Odds

4.88

Implied

20.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.22

Odds

4.55

Implied

22.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Santiago De La Fuente

Best: 22.0% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

22.0%

20.5%

Matias Soto

Best: 78.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

78.0%

77.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Santiago De La Fuente

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.205

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.476 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.476

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.730 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.730

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Santiago De La Fuente (kalshi, $210) — slippage 9.7% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Santiago De La Fuentethin	kalshi	4.88	$210	$1026
Matias Sotothin	kalshi	1.30	$790	$1026

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Santiago De La Fuente

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 22.0% vs kalshi at 20.5%

Expected Value

+7.32%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.88) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.5K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2
24h Volume: $2
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Jun 24, 2026, 4:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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