TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Athens Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Makoto Ninomiya

Other · July 11, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Elena Micic

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.17	85.5%	$0.86	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.17	85.5%	$0.86	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.86

Odds

1.17

Implied

85.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.86

Odds

1.17

Implied

85.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Elena Micic

Best: 85.5% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

85.5%

Makoto Ninomiya

Best: 14.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

14.5%

13.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Elena Micic

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.855

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.868 avg

+0.18% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.866

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.869

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.874 avg

+0.42% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.870

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Makoto Ninomiya (kalshi, $132) — slippage 5.3% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Elena Micicthin	polymarket	1.17	$868	$1016
Makoto Ninomiyathin	kalshi	7.69	$132	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Elena Micic

Spread

0.0pp

kalshi at 85.5% vs polymarket at 85.5%

Expected Value

-0.00%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.17) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.0%

EV is negative or marginal — Kelly says skip.

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $57
24h Volume: $57
Liquidity: $35.3K
Open Interest: $57

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $31
24h Volume: $31
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $31

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · Jul 18, 2026, 2:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Jul 25, 2026, 2:10 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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