BaseballLIVE

Stale· updated 2m ago

Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins - First 5 Innings Winner

MLB · July 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Oakland Athletics

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.92	25.5%	$0.26	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	+19.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.26

Odds

3.92

Implied

25.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

+19.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Oakland Athletics

Best: 45.0% on kalshi

▲+19.5%

Prediction market is 19.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

25.5%

45.0%

Minnesota Twins

Best: 56.0% on kalshi

▲+28.5%

Prediction market is 28.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

27.5%

56.0%

Draw

Best: 50.0% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

50.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Oakland Athletics

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.255

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.457 avg

-0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.457

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.459 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.459

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Cross-Platform Edge — Oakland Athletics

Spread

19.5pp

kalshi at 45.0% vs polymarket at 25.5%

Expected Value

+76.47%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (3.92) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $58
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 1d 2h

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2.3K
24h Volume: $2.2K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2.3K

Resolves: in 4d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 1d 2h · Jul 25, 2026, 12:10 AM
kalshiin 4d 2h · Jul 28, 2026, 12:10 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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