TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 25s ago

Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Mariella Thamm

Other · June 20, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Renata Zarazua

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.27	79.0%	$0.79	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.22	82.0%	$0.82	+3.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.79

Odds

1.27

Implied

79.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.82

Odds

1.22

Implied

82.0%

Edge

+3.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Renata Zarazua

Best: 82.0% on polymarket

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

82.0%

79.0%

Mariella Thamm

Best: 21.5% on kalshi

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

18.0%

21.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Renata Zarazua

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.790

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.831 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.831

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.885 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.885

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.09%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Mariella Thamm (polymarket, $186) — not enough depth at $186 — fillable up to $372

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Renata Zarazuathin	kalshi	1.27	$814	$1031
Mariella Thammthin	polymarket	5.56	$186	$1031

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Renata Zarazua

Spread

3.0pp

polymarket at 82.0% vs kalshi at 79.0%

Expected Value

+3.80%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.27) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

14.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $113
24h Volume: $113
Liquidity: $421
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 12h

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2.6K
24h Volume: $275
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.9K

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 12h · Jun 27, 2026, 12:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jul 4, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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