TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 18s ago

Bad Homburg Open: Xinyu Wang vs Leylah Fernandez

Other · June 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Xinyu Wang

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.27	44.0%	$0.44	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.25	44.5%	$0.45	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.44

Odds

2.27

Implied

44.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.45

Odds

2.25

Implied

44.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Xinyu Wang

Best: 44.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

44.5%

44.0%

Leylah Fernandez

Best: 57.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.5%

57.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Xinyu Wang

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.440

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.467 avg

+2.12% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.458

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.516

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.561 avg

+8.86% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.516

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $449

Leylah Fernandez (polymarket, $558) — slippage 3.0% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Xinyu Wangthin	kalshi	2.27	$442	$1005
Leylah Fernandezthin	polymarket	1.80	$558	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Xinyu Wang

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 44.5% vs kalshi at 44.0%

Expected Value

+1.14%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.27) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $190
24h Volume: $190
Liquidity: $26.5K
Open Interest: $187

Resolves: in 7d 13h

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $11
24h Volume: $11
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $11

Resolves: in 14d 13h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 13h · Jun 30, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 13h · Jul 7, 2026, 9:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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