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Bloomfield Hills: Roger Pascual vs Masamichi Imamura

Other · July 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Roger Pascual Ferra

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.85	54.0%	$0.54	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.83	54.5%	$0.55	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.54

Odds

1.85

Implied

54.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.55

Odds

1.83

Implied

54.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Roger Pascual Ferra

Best: 54.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

54.5%

54.0%

Masamichi Imamura

Best: 45.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

45.5%

45.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Roger Pascual Ferra

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.540

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.576 avg

+0.57% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.573

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.579

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.638 avg

+10.14% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.579

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Roger Pascual Ferrathin	kalshi	1.85	$546	$1010
Masamichi Imamurathin	kalshi	2.22	$455	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Roger Pascual Ferra

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 54.5% vs kalshi at 54.0%

Expected Value

+0.93%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.85) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $13.3K
24h Volume: $13.3K
Liquidity: $153.9K
Open Interest: $13.4K

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $488
24h Volume: $488
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $477

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · Jul 28, 2026, 2:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Aug 4, 2026, 2:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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