SoccerUPCOMING

Stale· updated 3m ago

Bodoe/Glimt vs Union Gilloise: Regulation Time Moneyline

Champions League · August 11, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Reg Time: Union Gilloise

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.80	55.5%	$0.56	+10.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.56

Odds

1.80

Implied

55.5%

Edge

+10.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Reg Time: Union Gilloise

Best: 55.5% on polymarket

▲+10.5%

Prediction market is 10.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.5%

45.0%

Draw

Best: 23.0% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

23.0%

RU Saint-Gilloise

Best: 27.0% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

27.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Reg Time: Union Gilloise

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.450

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.741 avg

+1.11% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.733

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.749

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.820 avg

+9.46% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.749

Arbitrage Opportunity

+5.26%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Reg Time: Union Gilloise (kalshi, $474) — slippage 8.5% — eats into edge

Draw (polymarket, $242) — slippage 80.5% > 10% cap — fillable up to $3

RU Saint-Gilloise (polymarket, $284) — slippage 23.5% > 10% cap — fillable up to $4

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Reg Time: Union Gilloisethin	kalshi	2.22	$474	$1053
Drawthin	polymarket	4.35	$242	$1053
RU Saint-Gilloisethin	polymarket

Cross-Platform Edge — Reg Time: Union Gilloise

Spread

10.5pp

polymarket at 55.5% vs kalshi at 45.0%

Expected Value

+23.33%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.22) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

19.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $60
24h Volume: $60
Liquidity: $8.2K
Open Interest: $60

Resolves: in 6d 13h

Source: https://www.uefa.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2
24h Volume: $2
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2

Resolves: in 8d 19h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 13h · Aug 11, 2026, 4:00 PM
kalshiin 8d 19h · Aug 13, 2026, 10:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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