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Live· updated 1m ago

Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Hernan Casanova

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.06	48.6%	$0.49	+0.1pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	2.06	48.5%	$0.49	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.49

Odds

2.06

Implied

48.6%

Edge

+0.1pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.49

Odds

2.06

Implied

48.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Hernan Casanova

Best: 48.6% on polymarket

▲+0.1%

Prediction market is 0.1% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

48.6%

48.5%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Best: 51.5% on kalshi

▲+0.2%

Prediction market is 0.2% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

51.3%

51.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Hernan Casanova

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.485

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.520 avg

+0.99% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.515

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.525

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.722 avg

+6.48% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.678

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.15%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Hernan Casanovathin	kalshi	2.06	$486	$1002
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	polymarket	1.95	$514	$1001

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Hernan Casanova

Spread

0.1pp

polymarket at 48.6% vs kalshi at 48.5%

Expected Value

+0.31%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.06) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $7.6K
24h Volume: $7.5K
Liquidity: $69.7K
Open Interest: $8.2K

Resolves: in 6d 5h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 5h · Jul 15, 2026, 3:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jul 23, 2026, 6:10 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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