TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Bruno Fernandez

Other · July 6, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Juan Pablo Varillas

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.32	75.5%	$0.76	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.32	76.0%	$0.76	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.76

Odds

1.32

Implied

75.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.76

Odds

1.32

Implied

76.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Juan Pablo Varillas

Best: 76.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

75.5%

76.0%

Bruno Fernandez

Best: 24.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

24.5%

24.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Juan Pablo Varillas

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.755

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.783 avg

+1.63% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.770

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.795

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.800 avg

+0.57% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.795

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $763

Bruno Fernandez (kalshi, $241) — slippage 6.7% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Juan Pablo Varillasthin	polymarket	1.32	$759	$1005
Bruno Fernandezthin	kalshi	4.17	$241	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Juan Pablo Varillas

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 76.0% vs polymarket at 75.5%

Expected Value

+0.66%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.32) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $67
24h Volume: $58
Liquidity: $8.8K
Open Interest: $56

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $66
24h Volume: $66
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $66

Resolves: in 14d 10h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jul 13, 2026, 3:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 10h · Jul 20, 2026, 7:10 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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