SoccerUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória

Copa do Brasil · August 3, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — CA Paranaense

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.63	61.5%	$0.62	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.59	63.0%	$0.63	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.62

Odds

1.63

Implied

61.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.63

Odds

1.59

Implied

63.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

CA Paranaense

Best: 63.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

61.5%

63.0%

Draw

Best: 25.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

24.5%

25.0%

EC Vitória

Best: 14.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

13.0%

14.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

CA Paranaense

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.615

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.630 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.630

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.630

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.640 avg

+1.54% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.630

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $901

Draw (polymarket, $248) — slippage 5.8% — eats into edge

EC Vitória (polymarket, $131) — slippage 10.1% > 10% cap — fillable up to $147

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
CA Paranaensethin	polymarket	1.63	$621	$1010
Drawthin	polymarket	4.08	$248	$1010
EC Vitóriathin	polymarket	7.69	$131	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — CA Paranaense

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 63.0% vs polymarket at 61.5%

Expected Value

+2.44%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.63) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $416
24h Volume: $341
Liquidity: $53.8K
Open Interest: $357

Resolves: in 22h

Source: https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/copa-do-brasil

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.8K
24h Volume: $1.8K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.8K

Resolves: in 3d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 22h · Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM
kalshiin 3d 4h · Aug 6, 2026, 6:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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