SoccerUPCOMING

Stale· updated 3m ago

CD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia

Primeira Liga · August 16, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — CD Nacional

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.74	36.5%	$0.37	---	Bet Here
Lowvig	2.60	38.5%	$0.38	+2.0pp	Bet Here
Betonlineag	2.60	38.5%	$0.38	+2.0pp	Bet Here
Pinnacle	2.62	38.2%	$0.38	+1.7pp	Bet Here
Betus	2.60	38.5%	$0.38	+2.0pp	Bet Here
Coolbet	2.55	39.2%	$0.39	+2.7pp	Bet Here
Gtbets	2.58	38.8%	$0.39	+2.3pp	Bet Here
Marathonbet	2.55	39.2%	$0.39	+2.7pp	Bet Here
Bovada	2.59	38.6%	$0.39	+2.1pp	Bet Here
Betway	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Ladbrokes_au	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Betright	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Coral	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Neds	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Betmgm	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Ladbrokes_uk	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Fanatics	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Nordicbet	2.52	39.7%	$0.40	+3.2pp	Bet Here
Betsson	2.52	39.7%	$0.40	+3.2pp	Bet Here
Betr_au	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Sport888	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Williamhill	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Tipico_de	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Playup	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Pointsbetau	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+3.5pp	Bet Here
Sportsbet	2.45	40.8%	$0.41	+4.3pp	Bet Here
FanDuel	2.45	40.8%	$0.41	+4.3pp	Bet Here
Betfair_sb_uk	2.45	40.8%	$0.41	+4.3pp	Bet Here
Betano_uk	2.45	40.8%	$0.41	+4.3pp	Bet Here
Betvictor	2.45	40.8%	$0.41	+4.3pp	Bet Here
Betclic_fr	2.37	42.2%	$0.42	+5.7pp	Bet Here
Betfred_uk	2.40	41.7%	$0.42	+5.2pp	Bet Here
Skybet	2.38	42.0%	$0.42	+5.5pp	Bet Here
Paddypower	2.40	41.7%	$0.42	+5.2pp	Bet Here
Boylesports	2.38	42.0%	$0.42	+5.5pp	Bet Here
Tabtouch	2.40	41.7%	$0.42	+5.2pp	Bet Here
Betrivers	2.40	41.7%	$0.42	+5.2pp	Bet Here
Grosvenor	2.40	41.7%	$0.42	+5.2pp	Bet Here
Casumo	2.40	41.7%	$0.42	+5.2pp	Bet Here
Unibet	2.30	43.5%	$0.43	+7.0pp	Bet Here
Winamax_de	2.35	42.6%	$0.43	+6.1pp	Bet Here
Winamax_fr	2.30	43.5%	$0.43	+7.0pp	Bet Here
Leovegas_se	2.30	43.5%	$0.43	+7.0pp	Bet Here
Unibet_nl	2.32	43.1%	$0.43	+6.6pp	Bet Here
Virginbet	2.30	43.5%	$0.43	+7.0pp	Bet Here
Livescorebet	2.30	43.5%	$0.43	+7.0pp	Bet Here
Unibet_se	2.32	43.1%	$0.43	+6.6pp	Bet Here
Pmu_fr	2.28	43.9%	$0.44	+7.4pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.37

Odds

2.74

Implied

36.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Lowvig

$0.38

Odds

2.60

Implied

38.5%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

Betonlineag

$0.38

Odds

2.60

Implied

38.5%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

Pinnacle

$0.38

Odds

2.62

Implied

38.2%

Edge

+1.7pp

Bet Here

Betus

$0.38

Odds

2.60

Implied

38.5%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

Coolbet

$0.39

Odds

2.55

Implied

39.2%

Edge

+2.7pp

Bet Here

Gtbets

$0.39

Odds

2.58

Implied

38.8%

Edge

+2.3pp

Bet Here

Marathonbet

$0.39

Odds

2.55

Implied

39.2%

Edge

+2.7pp

Bet Here

Bovada

$0.39

Odds

2.59

Implied

38.6%

Edge

+2.1pp

Bet Here

Betway

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Ladbrokes_au

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Betright

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Coral

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Neds

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Betmgm

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Ladbrokes_uk

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Fanatics

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Nordicbet

$0.40

Odds

2.52

Implied

39.7%

Edge

+3.2pp

Bet Here

Betsson

$0.40

Odds

2.52

Implied

39.7%

Edge

+3.2pp

Bet Here

Betr_au

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Sport888

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Williamhill

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Tipico_de

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Playup

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Pointsbetau

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

Sportsbet

$0.41

Odds

2.45

Implied

40.8%

Edge

+4.3pp

Bet Here

FanDuel

$0.41

Odds

2.45

Implied

40.8%

Edge

+4.3pp

Bet Here

Betfair_sb_uk

$0.41

Odds

2.45

Implied

40.8%

Edge

+4.3pp

Bet Here

Betano_uk

$0.41

Odds

2.45

Implied

40.8%

Edge

+4.3pp

Bet Here

Betvictor

$0.41

Odds

2.45

Implied

40.8%

Edge

+4.3pp

Bet Here

Betclic_fr

$0.42

Odds

2.37

Implied

42.2%

Edge

+5.7pp

Bet Here

Betfred_uk

$0.42

Odds

2.40

Implied

41.7%

Edge

+5.2pp

Bet Here

Skybet

$0.42

Odds

2.38

Implied

42.0%

Edge

+5.5pp

Bet Here

Paddypower

$0.42

Odds

2.40

Implied

41.7%

Edge

+5.2pp

Bet Here

Boylesports

$0.42

Odds

2.38

Implied

42.0%

Edge

+5.5pp

Bet Here

Tabtouch

$0.42

Odds

2.40

Implied

41.7%

Edge

+5.2pp

Bet Here

Betrivers

$0.42

Odds

2.40

Implied

41.7%

Edge

+5.2pp

Bet Here

Grosvenor

$0.42

Odds

2.40

Implied

41.7%

Edge

+5.2pp

Bet Here

Casumo

$0.42

Odds

2.40

Implied

41.7%

Edge

+5.2pp

Bet Here

Unibet

$0.43

Odds

2.30

Implied

43.5%

Edge

+7.0pp

Bet Here

Winamax_de

$0.43

Odds

2.35

Implied

42.6%

Edge

+6.1pp

Bet Here

Winamax_fr

$0.43

Odds

2.30

Implied

43.5%

Edge

+7.0pp

Bet Here

Leovegas_se

$0.43

Odds

2.30

Implied

43.5%

Edge

+7.0pp

Bet Here

Unibet_nl

$0.43

Odds

2.32

Implied

43.1%

Edge

+6.6pp

Bet Here

Virginbet

$0.43

Odds

2.30

Implied

43.5%

Edge

+7.0pp

Bet Here

Livescorebet

$0.43

Odds

2.30

Implied

43.5%

Edge

+7.0pp

Bet Here

Unibet_se

$0.43

Odds

2.32

Implied

43.1%

Edge

+6.6pp

Bet Here

Pmu_fr

$0.44

Odds

2.28

Implied

43.9%

Edge

+7.4pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

CD Nacional

Best: 43.9% on pmu_fr

▲+7.4%

Prediction market is 7.4% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

36.5%

40.8%

38.5%

42.2%

41.7%

40.0%

39.2%

43.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

CD Nacional

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.365

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$17.5K@ 0.433 avg

+13.42% vs cheapest single venue

pinnacle(limit)$5.0K @ 0.382

betmgm(limit)$2.0K @ 0.400

williamhill(limit)$800 @ 0.400

fanduel(limit)$2.5K @ 0.408

betvictor(limit)$1.1K @ 0.408

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $127

CD Nacional (polymarket, $367) — slippage 5.5% — eats into edge

Draw (polymarket, $286) — slippage 3.6% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
CD Nacionalthin	polymarket	2.74	$367	$1005
Drawthin	polymarket	3.51	$286	$1005
Estoril Praiathin	polymarket	2.90	$347	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — CD Nacional

Spread

7.4pp

pmu_fr at 43.9% vs polymarket at 36.5%

Expected Value

+20.16%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.74) if pmu_fr's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

11.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $20.2K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 4d 18h

Source: https://www.ligaportugal.pt/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 4d 18h · Aug 16, 2026, 2:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Edge Analysis

Prediction Market Offers Better Value

Best prediction market price is 36.5% on polymarket (odds 2.74). Best sportsbook is 38.2% on pinnacle (odds 2.62). Prediction market offers +4.4% better value.

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Bet on Sportsbet Bet on Lowvig Bet on Betclic_fr Bet on Betfred_uk

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