BaseballLIVE

Stale· updated 4m ago

Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays - First 5 Innings Winner

MLB · July 16, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Chicago White Sox

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.20	45.5%	$0.46	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.13	47.0%	$0.47	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.46

Odds

2.20

Implied

45.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.47

Odds

2.13

Implied

47.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Chicago White Sox

Best: 47.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

45.5%

47.0%

Toronto Blue Jays

Best: 55.0% on kalshi

▲+6.5%

Prediction market is 6.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

48.5%

55.0%

Draw

Best: 37.0% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

37.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Chicago White Sox

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.455

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.472 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.472

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.489 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.489

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Cross-Platform Edge — Chicago White Sox

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 47.0% vs polymarket at 45.5%

Expected Value

+3.30%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.20) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $31
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 1d 6h

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $3.6K
24h Volume: $2.3K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $3.6K

Resolves: in 4d 6h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 1d 6h · Jul 17, 2026, 11:15 PM
kalshiin 4d 6h · Jul 20, 2026, 11:15 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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