BaseballLIVE

Live· updated 44s ago

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins - First 5 Innings Winner

MLB · July 9, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0000000000000

Platform Prices — Cleveland Guardians

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.38	42.0%	$0.42	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.00	50.0%	$0.50	+8.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.42

Odds

2.38

Implied

42.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.50

Odds

2.00

Implied

50.0%

Edge

+8.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Cleveland Guardians

Best: 50.0% on kalshi

▲+8.0%

Prediction market is 8.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

42.0%

50.0%

Miami Marlins

Best: 51.0% on kalshi

▲+8.5%

Prediction market is 8.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

42.5%

51.0%

Draw

Best: 24.0% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

24.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Cleveland Guardians

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.420

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.507 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.507

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.509 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.509

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Cross-Platform Edge — Cleveland Guardians

Spread

8.0pp

kalshi at 50.0% vs polymarket at 42.0%

Expected Value

+19.05%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.38) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

13.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $3.3K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 23h

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $808
24h Volume: $786
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $808

Resolves: in 3d 23h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 23h · Jul 10, 2026, 11:10 PM
kalshiin 3d 23h · Jul 13, 2026, 11:10 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Related Events

Baseball

▲+23.0%

Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals - First 5 Innings Winner

Vol: $2K

Baseball

▲+22.5%

Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers

Vol: $3.6M

Baseball

▲+21.0%

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - First 5 Innings Winner

Vol: $20K

Baseball

▲+20.5%

Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles - First 5 Innings Winner

18+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-522-4700. OddsBridge does not accept bets -- we provide odds comparison and informational content only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds and prices shown may not reflect the most current values. Always verify prices on the platform before placing a bet or trade.