TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 2m ago

Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Federico Bondioli

Other · July 18, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Matyas Fuele

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.45	29.0%	$0.29	+0.5pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	3.51	28.5%	$0.29	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.29

Odds

3.45

Implied

29.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.29

Odds

3.51

Implied

28.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Matyas Fuele

Best: 29.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

29.0%

28.5%

Federico Bondioli

Best: 71.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

71.0%

71.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Matyas Fuele

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.285

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.451 avg

+22.50% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.368

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.533

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.734 avg

+99.45% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.368

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $523

Matyas Fuele (kalshi, $286) — slippage 3.3% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Matyas Fuelethin	kalshi	3.51	$286	$1005
Federico Bondiolithin	polymarket	1.41	$714	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Matyas Fuele

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 29.0% vs kalshi at 28.5%

Expected Value

+1.75%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.51) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $117
24h Volume: $117
Liquidity: $24.3K
Open Interest: $491

Resolves: in 7d 11h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $5
24h Volume: $5
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $5

Resolves: in 14d 11h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 11h · Jul 25, 2026, 3:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 11h · Aug 1, 2026, 3:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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