TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 25s ago

Croatia Open, Qualification: Lukas Neumayer vs Marko Topo

Other · July 12, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Lukas Neumayer

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.41	71.0%	$0.71	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.37	73.0%	$0.73	+2.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.71

Odds

1.41

Implied

71.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.73

Odds

1.37

Implied

73.0%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lukas Neumayer

Best: 73.0% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

71.0%

73.0%

Marko Topo

Best: 29.0% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

29.0%

27.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lukas Neumayer

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.710

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.751 avg

+1.53% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.740

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.808

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.830 avg

+2.82% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.808

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Lukas Neumayer (polymarket, $721) — slippage 12.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $12

Marko Topo (kalshi, $279) — slippage 6.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lukas Neumayerthin	polymarket	1.41	$721	$1015
Marko Topothin	kalshi	3.64	$279	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lukas Neumayer

Spread

2.0pp

kalshi at 73.0% vs polymarket at 71.0%

Expected Value

+2.82%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.41) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $13
24h Volume: $13
Liquidity: $1.7K
Open Interest: $10

Resolves: in 7d 14h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $174
24h Volume: $174
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $174

Resolves: in 14d 14h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 14h · Jul 19, 2026, 3:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 14h · Jul 26, 2026, 3:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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