TennisLIVE

Stale· updated 3m ago

Estoril Open, Qualification: Orlando Luz vs Clement Tabur

Other · July 19, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Orlando Luz

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	14.29	7.0%	$0.07	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	13.33	7.5%	$0.08	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.07

Odds

14.29

Implied

7.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.08

Odds

13.33

Implied

7.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Orlando Luz

Best: 7.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

7.5%

7.0%

Clement Tabur

Best: 94.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

92.5%

94.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Orlando Luz

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.070

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.160 avg

+35.60% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.118

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.203

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.367 avg

+7.57% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.341

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Orlando Luz (kalshi, $70) — slippage 7.5% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Orlando Luzthin	kalshi	14.29	$70	$1006
Clement Tabur	polymarket	1.08	$930	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Orlando Luz

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 7.5% vs kalshi at 7.0%

Expected Value

+7.14%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (14.29) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $3.1K
24h Volume: $3.1K
Liquidity: $111.8K
Open Interest: $2.1K

Resolves: in 7d 0h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $21.7K
24h Volume: $21.3K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $19.9K

Resolves: in 13d 22h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 0h · Jul 26, 2026, 12:30 PM
kalshiin 13d 22h · Aug 2, 2026, 11:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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