TennisLIVE

Stale· updated 2m ago

Estoril Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Other · July 19, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Vilius Gaubas

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	3.03	33.0%	$0.33	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.99	33.5%	$0.34	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.33

Odds

3.03

Implied

33.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.34

Odds

2.99

Implied

33.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Vilius Gaubas

Best: 33.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

33.0%

33.5%

Pablo Carreno Busta

Best: 67.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

67.0%

66.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Vilius Gaubas

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.330

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.357 avg

+1.13% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.353

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.361

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.522 avg

+10.56% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.472

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $657

Vilius Gaubas (kalshi, $332) — slippage 4.5% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Vilius Gaubasthin	kalshi	3.03	$332	$1005
Pablo Carreno Bustathin	polymarket	1.50	$668	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Vilius Gaubas

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 33.5% vs kalshi at 33.0%

Expected Value

+1.52%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.03) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $802
24h Volume: $802
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $735

Resolves: in 13d 21h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $806
24h Volume: $806
Liquidity: $81.4K
Open Interest: $785

Resolves: in 7d 20h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 20h · Jul 27, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 13d 21h · Aug 2, 2026, 11:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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