SoccerUPCOMING

Stale· updated 6m ago

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais

UCL · August 18, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Fenerbahçe SK

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.17	46.0%	$0.46	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.02	49.5%	$0.50	+3.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.46

Odds

2.17

Implied

46.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.50

Odds

2.02

Implied

49.5%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Fenerbahçe SK

Best: 49.5% on polymarket

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

46.0%

Draw

Best: 26.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

26.0%

25.5%

Olympique Lyonnais

Best: 28.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

25.5%

28.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Fenerbahçe SK

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.460

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.501 avg

+1.04% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.496

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.527

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.673 avg

+27.81% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.527

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.09%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Olympique Lyonnais (polymarket, $263) — slippage 49.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $23

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Fenerbahçe SKthin	kalshi	2.17	$474	$1031
Drawthin	kalshi	3.92	$263	$1031
Olympique Lyonnaisthin	polymarket	3.92	$263	$1031

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Fenerbahçe SK

Spread

3.5pp

polymarket at 49.5% vs kalshi at 46.0%

Expected Value

+7.61%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.17) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $7.2K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 5d 22h

Source: https://www.uefa.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.9K
24h Volume: $1.9K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.9K

Resolves: in 8d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 5d 22h · Aug 18, 2026, 7:00 PM
kalshiin 8d 4h · Aug 21, 2026, 1:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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