SoccerUPCOMING

Live· updated 55s ago

Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds

Japan J League · August 7, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000

Platform Prices — Gamba Ōsaka

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.56	39.0%	$0.39	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.39

Odds

2.56

Implied

39.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Gamba Ōsaka

Best: 40.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

40.0%

39.0%

Draw

Best: 29.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

29.0%

28.0%

Urawa Red Diamonds

Best: 32.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

32.0%

31.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Gamba Ōsaka

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.390

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.461 avg

+10.09% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.419

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.503

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.520 avg

+3.22% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.503

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Urawa Red Diamonds (kalshi, $316) — slippage 3.9% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Gamba Ōsakathin	kalshi	2.56	$398	$1020
Drawthin	kalshi	3.57	$286	$1020
Urawa Red Diamondsthin	kalshi	3.23	$316	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Gamba Ōsaka

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 40.0% vs kalshi at 39.0%

Expected Value

+2.56%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.56) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $21
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $23.7K
Open Interest: $21

Resolves: in 2d 1h

Source: https://www.jleague.jp/en/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $202
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $202

Resolves: in 4d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 2d 1h · Aug 7, 2026, 10:30 AM
kalshiin 4d 7h · Aug 9, 2026, 4:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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