TennisLIVE

Stale· updated 3m ago

Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Sebastian Ofner

Other · July 19, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Alex Molcan

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.68	59.5%	$0.60	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.63	61.5%	$0.62	+2.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.60

Odds

1.68

Implied

59.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.62

Odds

1.63

Implied

61.5%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Alex Molcan

Best: 61.5% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

61.5%

59.5%

Sebastian Ofner

Best: 40.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

40.0%

40.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Alex Molcan

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.595

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.611 avg

+1.42% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.603

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.620

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.654 avg

+4.10% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.628

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $666

Sebastian Ofner (kalshi, $402) — slippage 3.5% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Alex Molcan	polymarket	1.68	$598	$1005
Sebastian Ofnerthin	kalshi	2.50	$402	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Alex Molcan

Spread

2.0pp

kalshi at 61.5% vs polymarket at 59.5%

Expected Value

+3.36%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.68) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $203
24h Volume: $203
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $203

Resolves: in 13d 21h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $2.0K
24h Volume: $2.0K
Liquidity: $115.8K
Open Interest: $1.2K

Resolves: in 7d 20h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 20h · Jul 27, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 13d 21h · Aug 2, 2026, 9:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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