TennisLIVE

Stale· updated 4m ago

Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Other · July 19, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Sebastian Baez

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.25	44.5%	$0.45	---	Bet Here
PolymarketBest	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.45

Odds

2.25

Implied

44.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Sebastian Baez

Best: 45.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

44.5%

45.0%

Miomir Kecmanovic

Best: 56.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

56.0%

55.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Sebastian Baez

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.445

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.464 avg

+0.97% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.459

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.468

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.551 avg

+1.29% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.544

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Sebastian Baezthin	kalshi	2.25	$447	$1005
Miomir Kecmanovicthin	polymarket	1.82	$553	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Sebastian Baez

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 45.0% vs kalshi at 44.5%

Expected Value

+1.12%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.25) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $125
24h Volume: $125
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $125

Resolves: in 13d 21h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $344
24h Volume: $344
Liquidity: $114.8K
Open Interest: $278

Resolves: in 7d 20h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 20h · Jul 27, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 13d 21h · Aug 2, 2026, 9:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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