Climate and Weather · August 10, 2026
Best Price
Worst Price
Max Gap
Total Volume
Best: 4.0% on kalshi
Best: 11.0% on kalshi
Best: 27.0% on kalshi
Best: 34.5% on kalshi
Best: 15.0% on kalshi
Best: 6.0% on kalshi
For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
| Outcome | Platform | Odds | Stake | To win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85° or belowthin | kalshi | 25.00 | $41 | $1025 |
| 86° to 87°thin | kalshi | 9.09 |
Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.
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Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
| $113 |
| $1025 |
| 88° to 89°thin | kalshi | 3.70 | $277 | $1026 |
| 90° to 91°thin | kalshi | 2.90 | $354 | $1026 |
| 92° to 93°thin | kalshi | 6.67 | $154 | $1025 |
| 94° or abovethin | kalshi | 16.67 | $62 | $1025 |
Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.