Climate and Weather · August 1, 2026
Best Price
Worst Price
Max Gap
Total Volume
Best: 14.0% on kalshi
Best: 31.0% on kalshi
Best: 36.0% on kalshi
Best: 12.5% on kalshi
Best: 3.0% on kalshi
Best: 2.0% on kalshi
For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
| Outcome | Platform | Odds | Stake | To win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88° or belowthin | kalshi | 7.14 | $142 | $1015 |
| 89° to 90°thin | kalshi | 3.23 |
Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.
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Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
| $315 |
| $1015 |
| 91° to 92°thin | kalshi | 2.78 | $366 | $1015 |
| 93° to 94°thin | kalshi | 8.00 | $127 | $1015 |
| 95° to 96°thin | kalshi | 33.33 | $31 | $1017 |
| 97° or abovethin | kalshi | 50.00 | $20 | $1015 |
Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.