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Live· updated 25s ago

Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals - First 5 Innings Winner

MLB · July 5, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Houston Astros

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.53	39.5%	$0.40	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	+5.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.40

Odds

2.53

Implied

39.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

+5.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Houston Astros

Best: 45.0% on kalshi

▲+5.5%

Prediction market is 5.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

39.5%

45.0%

Washington Nationals

Best: 56.0% on kalshi

▲+8.0%

Prediction market is 8.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

48.0%

56.0%

Draw

Best: 12.5% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

12.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Houston Astros

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.395

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.614 avg

+34.89% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.455

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.773

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.511 avg

+11.41% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.459

polymarket

Cross-Platform Edge — Houston Astros

Spread

5.5pp

kalshi at 45.0% vs polymarket at 39.5%

Expected Value

+13.92%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.53) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

9.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $7.4K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 19h

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $9.5K
24h Volume: $8.7K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $8.9K

Resolves: in 3d 19h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 19h · Jul 6, 2026, 10:45 PM
kalshiin 3d 19h · Jul 9, 2026, 10:45 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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