Politics · January 20, 2029
Best Price
Worst Price
Max Gap
Total Volume
Best: 7.7% on kalshi
Best: 5.8% on kalshi
Best: 13.5% on kalshi
Best: 15.0% on kalshi
Best: 12.0% on kalshi
Best: 9.3% on kalshi
Best: 6.7% on kalshi
Best: 5.8% on kalshi
Best: 5.1% on kalshi
Best: 4.2% on kalshi
Best: 2.9% on kalshi
Best: 3.8% on kalshi
For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.
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Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
| Outcome | Platform | Odds | Stake | To win |
|---|
| Below 300thin | kalshi | 12.99 | $84 | $1090 |
| Between 300 and 349thin | kalshi | 17.09 | $64 | $1091 |
| Between 350 and 399thin | kalshi | 7.41 | $147 | $1090 |
| Between 400 and 449thin | kalshi | 6.67 | $164 | $1090 |
| Between 450 and 499thin | kalshi | 8.33 | $131 | $1090 |
| Between 500 and 549thin | kalshi | 10.70 | $102 | $1090 |
| Between 550 and 599thin | kalshi | 15.04 | $73 | $1090 |
| Between 600 and 649thin | kalshi | 17.39 | $63 | $1090 |
| Between 650 and 699thin | kalshi | 19.80 | $55 | $1089 |
| Between 700 and 749thin | kalshi | 23.81 | $46 | $1090 |
| Between 750 and 800thin | kalshi | 34.48 | $32 | $1090 |
| Above 800thin | kalshi | 26.32 | $41 | $1089 |
Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.