TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 19s ago

HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov

Other · June 17, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Alex de Minaur

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.29	77.5%	$0.78	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.27	79.0%	$0.79	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.78

Odds

1.29

Implied

77.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.79

Odds

1.27

Implied

79.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Alex de Minaur

Best: 79.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

77.5%

79.0%

Denis Shapovalov

Best: 22.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

22.5%

21.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Alex de Minaur

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.775

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.787 avg

+0.36% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.784

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.790

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.792 avg

+0.24% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.790

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Alex de Minaur	polymarket	1.29	$787	$1015
Denis Shapovalovthin	kalshi	4.76	$213	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Alex de Minaur

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 79.0% vs polymarket at 77.5%

Expected Value

+1.94%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.29) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $2.2K
24h Volume: $2.2K
Liquidity: $58.0K
Open Interest: $2.1K

Resolves: in 7d 5h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $32.6K
24h Volume: $31.1K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $31.2K

Resolves: in 14d 5h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 5h · Jun 24, 2026, 12:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 5h · Jul 1, 2026, 11:40 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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