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HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova

Other · June 12, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Emma Raducanu

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.27	78.5%	$0.79	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.25	80.0%	$0.80	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.79

Odds

1.27

Implied

78.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.80

Odds

1.25

Implied

80.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Emma Raducanu

Best: 80.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

78.5%

80.0%

Kamilla Rakhimova

Best: 21.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

21.5%

21.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Emma Raducanu

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.785

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.818 avg

+0.10% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.818

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.819

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.825 avg

+0.84% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.818

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $699

Kamilla Rakhimova (kalshi, $211) — slippage 4.2% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Emma Raducanu	polymarket	1.27	$789	$1005
Kamilla Rakhimovathin	kalshi	4.76	$211	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Emma Raducanu

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 80.0% vs polymarket at 78.5%

Expected Value

+1.91%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.27) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

7.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $5.6K
24h Volume: $5.6K
Liquidity: $27.7K
Open Interest: $5.5K

Resolves: in 6d 22h

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $37.5K
24h Volume: $28.5K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $34.4K

Resolves: in 13d 20h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 22h · Jun 19, 2026, 5:40 PM
kalshiin 13d 20h · Jun 26, 2026, 4:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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