TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 50s ago

HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones

Other · June 7, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Laura Siegemund

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.65	60.5%	$0.61	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.48	67.5%	$0.68	+7.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.61

Odds

1.65

Implied

60.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.68

Odds

1.48

Implied

67.5%

Edge

+7.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Laura Siegemund

Best: 67.5% on kalshi

▲+7.0%

Prediction market is 7.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

67.5%

60.5%

Francesca Jones

Best: 39.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

39.0%

39.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Laura Siegemund

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.605

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.770 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.770

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.901 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.901

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Laura Siegemund (polymarket, $608) — order-book depth unknown — assumed unfillable

Francesca Jones (kalshi, $392) — slippage 23.5% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Laura Siegemundthin	polymarket	1.65	$608	$1005
Francesca Jonesthin	kalshi	2.56	$392	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Laura Siegemund

Spread

7.0pp

kalshi at 67.5% vs polymarket at 60.5%

Expected Value

+11.57%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.65) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

17.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 5h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $3.9K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 8d 5h

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 5h · Jun 15, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 5h · Jun 21, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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