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HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guo

Other · June 6, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Elsa Jacquemot

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.65	60.5%	$0.61	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.59	63.0%	$0.63	+2.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.61

Odds

1.65

Implied

60.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.63

Odds

1.59

Implied

63.0%

Edge

+2.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Elsa Jacquemot

Best: 63.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

60.5%

63.0%

Hanyu Guo

Best: 39.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

39.5%

38.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Elsa Jacquemot

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.605

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.635 avg

+0.79% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.630

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.640

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.648 avg

+2.84% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.630

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Elsa Jacquemot	polymarket	1.65	$614	$1015
Hanyu Guothin	kalshi	2.63	$386	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Elsa Jacquemot

Spread

2.5pp

kalshi at 63.0% vs polymarket at 60.5%

Expected Value

+4.13%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.65) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $11.8K
24h Volume: $11.8K
Liquidity: $89.2K
Open Interest: $11.8K

Resolves: in 6d 22h

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $14.5K
24h Volume: $14.2K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $12.2K

Resolves: in 13d 19h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 22h · Jun 13, 2026, 11:40 AM
kalshiin 13d 19h · Jun 20, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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