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HSBC Championships, Qualification: Tatjana Maria vs Yuriko Miyazaki

Other · June 6, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Tatjana Maria

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.26	79.5%	$0.80	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.22	82.0%	$0.82	+2.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.80

Odds

1.26

Implied

79.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.82

Odds

1.22

Implied

82.0%

Edge

+2.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Tatjana Maria

Best: 82.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

79.5%

82.0%

Yuriko Lily Miyazaki

Best: 20.5% on polymarket

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

20.5%

17.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Tatjana Maria

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.795

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.825 avg

+0.61% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.820

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.830

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.829 avg

+1.09% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.820

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.63%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Tatjana Mariathin	polymarket	1.26	$824	$1036
Yuriko Lily Miyazakithin	kalshi	5.88	$176	$1036

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Tatjana Maria

Spread

2.5pp

kalshi at 82.0% vs polymarket at 79.5%

Expected Value

+3.14%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.26) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

12.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $476
24h Volume: $476
Liquidity: $9.4K
Open Interest: $548

Resolves: in 6d 21h

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $5.0K
24h Volume: $4.7K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $4.4K

Resolves: in 13d 21h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 21h · Jun 13, 2026, 11:40 AM
kalshiin 13d 21h · Jun 20, 2026, 11:10 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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