TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley

Other · June 13, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Darwin Blanch

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.35	42.5%	$0.43	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	2.33	43.0%	$0.43	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.43

Odds

2.35

Implied

42.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.43

Odds

2.33

Implied

43.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Darwin Blanch

Best: 43.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

42.5%

43.0%

Jacob Fearnley

Best: 57.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

57.5%

57.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Darwin Blanch

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.425

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.446 avg

+0.64% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.444

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.449

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.454 avg

+1.07% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.449

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $275

Darwin Blanch (polymarket, $427) — slippage 2.0% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Darwin Blanchthin	polymarket	2.35	$427	$1005
Jacob Fearnleythin	kalshi	1.75	$573	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Darwin Blanch

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 43.0% vs polymarket at 42.5%

Expected Value

+1.18%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.35) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $171
24h Volume: $171
Liquidity: $39.4K
Open Interest: $201

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $143
24h Volume: $122
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $143

Resolves: in 14d 6h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jun 20, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Jun 27, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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