SoccerUPCOMING

Stale· updated 2m ago

Independiente Medellín vs. AD Pasto

Other · July 25, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Independiente Medellín

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.82	55.0%	$0.55	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.80	55.5%	$0.56	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.55

Odds

1.82

Implied

55.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.56

Odds

1.80

Implied

55.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Independiente Medellín

Best: 55.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.0%

55.5%

Draw

Best: 27.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

27.0%

26.0%

AD Pasto

Best: 17.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

17.0%

16.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Independiente Medellín

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.550

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.567 avg

+1.06% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.561

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.573

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.622 avg

+5.95% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.587

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.09%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Draw (kalshi, $268) — slippage 3.2% — eats into edge

AD Pasto (kalshi, $165) — slippage 22.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $372

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Independiente Medellínthin	polymarket	1.82	$567	$1031
Drawthin	kalshi	3.85	$268	$1031
AD Pastothin	kalshi	6.25	$165	$1031

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Independiente Medellín

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 55.5% vs polymarket at 55.0%

Expected Value

+0.91%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.82) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $178
24h Volume: $143
Liquidity: $86.7K
Open Interest: $162

Resolves: in 12h

Source: https://dimayor.com.co/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.4K
24h Volume: $1.3K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.3K

Resolves: in 14d 12h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 12h · Jul 25, 2026, 9:05 PM
kalshiin 14d 12h · Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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