SoccerUPCOMING

Stale· updated 5m ago

Independiente Santa Fe vs. Once Caldas

Other · August 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0000

Platform Prices — Independiente Santa Fe

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.27	44.0%	$0.44	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.25	44.5%	$0.45	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.44

Odds

2.27

Implied

44.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.45

Odds

2.25

Implied

44.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Independiente Santa Fe

Best: 44.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

44.5%

44.0%

Draw

Best: 29.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

29.0%

Once Caldas

Best: 26.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

26.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Independiente Santa Fe

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.440

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.466 avg

+1.43% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.459

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.473

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.491 avg

+3.94% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.473

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $719

Once Caldas (polymarket, $263) — slippage 3.0% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Independiente Santa Fethin	kalshi	2.27	$444	$1010
Drawthin	polymarket	3.45	$293	$1010
Once Caldasthin	polymarket	3.85	$263	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Independiente Santa Fe

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 44.5% vs kalshi at 44.0%

Expected Value

+1.14%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.27) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $17
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $60.3K
Open Interest: $17

Resolves: in 1d 6h

Source: https://dimayor.com.co/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $183
24h Volume: $65
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $183

Resolves: in 3d 12h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 1d 6h · Aug 3, 2026, 1:00 AM
kalshiin 3d 12h · Aug 5, 2026, 7:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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