TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 39s ago

ITF Amstelveen: Gabriele Maria Noce vs Dax Donders

Other · July 1, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Gabriele Maria Noce

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.90	52.5%	$0.53	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.90	52.5%	$0.53	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.53

Odds

1.90

Implied

52.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.53

Odds

1.90

Implied

52.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Gabriele Maria Noce

Best: 52.5% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

52.5%

Dax Donders

Best: 47.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

47.5%

47.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Gabriele Maria Noce

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.525

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.571 avg

+3.83% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.550

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.575

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.744 avg

+35.28% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.550

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Gabriele Maria Nocethin	polymarket	1.91	$528	$1005
Dax Dondersthin	kalshi	2.13	$472	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Gabriele Maria Noce

Spread

0.0pp

kalshi at 52.5% vs polymarket at 52.5%

Expected Value

0.00%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.90) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.0%

EV is negative or marginal — Kelly says skip.

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $3
24h Volume: $3
Liquidity: $4.1K
Open Interest: $3

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · Jul 8, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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