TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 25s ago

ITF Amstelveen: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Manvydas Balciunas

Other · July 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Nino Ehrenschneider

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.00	50.0%	$0.50	+0.5pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	2.02	49.5%	$0.50	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.50

Odds

2.00

Implied

50.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.50

Odds

2.02

Implied

49.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nino Ehrenschneider

Best: 50.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.0%

49.5%

Manvydas Balciunas

Best: 50.0% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.0%

48.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nino Ehrenschneider

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.495

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.747 avg

+36.07% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.549

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.787

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.848 avg

+54.31% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.549

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $385

Nino Ehrenschneider (kalshi, $505) — slippage 20.9% > 10% cap — fillable up to $195

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Nino Ehrenschneiderthin	kalshi	2.02	$505	$1020
Manvydas Balciunasthin	kalshi	2.06	$495	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Nino Ehrenschneider

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 50.0% vs kalshi at 49.5%

Expected Value

+1.01%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.02) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $3.3K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 6h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jul 9, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Jul 16, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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