TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 47s ago

ITF Aschaffenburg: Xinxin Yao vs Darya Astakhova

Other · July 7, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000

Platform Prices — Xinxin Yao

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	6.06	16.5%	$0.17	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	5.71	17.5%	$0.18	+1.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.17

Odds

6.06

Implied

16.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.18

Odds

5.71

Implied

17.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Xinxin Yao

Best: 17.5% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

16.5%

17.5%

Darya Astakhova

Best: 83.5% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

83.5%

81.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Xinxin Yao

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.165

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.569 avg

+7.96% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.527

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.577

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.823 avg

+56.24% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.527

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Xinxin Yao (polymarket, $168) — slippage 192.7% > 10% cap — fillable up to $1

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Xinxin Yaothin	polymarket	6.06	$168	$1021
Darya Astakhovathin	kalshi	1.23	$832	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Xinxin Yao

Spread

1.0pp

kalshi at 17.5% vs polymarket at 16.5%

Expected Value

+6.06%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (6.06) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $101
24h Volume: $101
Liquidity: $255
Open Interest: $99

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 10h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · Jul 14, 2026, 11:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 10h · Jul 21, 2026, 11:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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