TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Astana: Zangar Nurlanuly vs Dan Brand

Other · July 31, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Zangar Nurlanuly

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.00	50.0%	$0.50	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.98	50.5%	$0.51	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.50

Odds

2.00

Implied

50.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.51

Odds

1.98

Implied

50.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Zangar Nurlanuly

Best: 50.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.5%

50.0%

Dan Brand

Best: 49.5% on polymarket

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

46.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Zangar Nurlanuly

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.500

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.626 avg

+4.14% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.601

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.750

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.817 avg

+8.93% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.750

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.63%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Zangar Nurlanuly (kalshi, $518) — slippage 7.2% — eats into edge

Dan Brand (kalshi, $482) — slippage 22.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $19

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Zangar Nurlanulythin	kalshi	2.00	$518	$1036
Dan Brandthin	kalshi	2.15	$482	$1037

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Zangar Nurlanuly

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 50.5% vs kalshi at 50.0%

Expected Value

+1.00%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.00) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $852
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Aug 7, 2026, 7:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Aug 14, 2026, 7:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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