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ITF Asuncion: Antonia Rivera vs Chiara Di Genova

Other · June 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Antonia Vergara Rivera

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.05	95.5%	$0.96	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.04	96.0%	$0.96	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.96

Odds

1.05

Implied

95.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.96

Odds

1.04

Implied

96.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Antonia Vergara Rivera

Best: 96.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

95.5%

96.0%

Chiara Di Genova

Best: 4.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

4.5%

3.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Antonia Vergara Rivera

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.955

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.979 avg

+0.79% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.971

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.987

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.986 avg

+1.54% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.971

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Chiara Di Genova (kalshi, $35) — slippage 408.1% > 10% cap — fillable up to $37

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Antonia Vergara Riverathin	polymarket	1.05	$965	$1010
Chiara Di Genovathin	kalshi	28.57	$35	$1011

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Antonia Vergara Rivera

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 96.0% vs polymarket at 95.5%

Expected Value

+0.52%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.05) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

11.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $601
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $36
24h Volume: $36
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $36

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · Jul 1, 2026, 3:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Jul 8, 2026, 3:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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